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Warsaw Marathon weather

What will race morning in Warsaw cost you?

Warsaw Marathon mornings around race day since 2021, by weather-model estimate: about 12°C (53°F) at 09:00 near Warsaw. Most were 8 to 17°C.

Date
Sun, 27 Sept 2026
First start
09:00 local
Distance
42.2 km
Mornings around race day at 09:00, by year
YearAirDew ptWindRain hrs
20259°C6°C13 km/h9%
202413°C9°C13 km/h0%
202316°C13°C11 km/h18%
20229°C8°C10 km/h18%
202111°C9°C14 km/h27%

By weather-model estimate near the race, mornings around race day. Not station readings.

Course note

The 48th Warsaw Marathon starts on Świętokrzyska Street near the Palace of Culture and Science. Follow the organiser’s race-day map for the precise route. Organiser route

Past editionPrevious edition
4:00:004:02 to 4:12Edit goal

Past starts: 12°C typical, 8 to 17°C since 2021.

01 · The conditions

Race-day weather

Previous editionThis edition has finished

The past weather below is context for the next edition. We do not substitute today’s weather for a past race.

Explore historical weather
Example RunWeather race plan for a hot half marathon in Florida: goal pace against race-day pace, and how to spend it from start to finish

Example race: a hot half marathon in Florida

Powered by StravaWorks with Apple Health

Get Warsaw race-morning weather on your phone.

The app turns race-morning weather into your race plan: your goal pace, your race-day pace, and how to spend it from the start to the finish.

Example RunWeather race plan for a hot half marathon in Florida: what slows you, heat and wind in minutes, then conditions from gun to finish

Example race: a hot half marathon in Florida

02 · Same effort, different day

What the weather may cost your goal

Goal finish time

Choose a popular time or set your own. Your pace and weather preview update as you edit.

Your goal pace5:41/km · 4:00:00 finish
Same effort in this weather4:04:48+4:48 09:00 to 13:00 · five-year average

4:00:00 goal. On a typical race morning here, expect about 4:02 to 4:12. Main factor: heat.

  • Heat and sun+2%
  • Wind and comfort0%
  • Weather total+2%

RunWeather’s pace model at your goal effort, over every hour you are on course (09:00 to 13:00 local), weighted by the time you spend in each, using the five-year race-morning average. A planning preview, not a predicted finish. Hills, turns, shelter, fuelling and heat adaptation are not modelled here; rain is left out because a probability is not a measured rain rate. Explore the heat pace calculator.

View even-pace checkpoints
DistanceElapsed time
5.0 km0:28:26
10.0 km0:56:53
15.0 km1:25:19
20.0 km1:53:45
25.0 km2:22:12
30.0 km2:50:38
35.0 km3:19:05
40.0 km3:47:31
42.2 km · Finish4:00:00

In the app

Your race plan, on race morning

Add the Warsaw Marathon and the app keeps your plan current until the gun.

  • Goal pace against race-day pace

    What your goal is worth on this morning’s weather, per km and at the finish.

  • How to spend it

    Start, middle and finish, against your average.

  • What slows you

    Heat, wind and hills, each in minutes.

Example RunWeather race plan for a hot half marathon in Florida: goal pace against race-day pace, and how to spend it from start to finish

Goal vs race day

Example RunWeather race plan for a hot half marathon in Florida: what slows you, heat and wind in minutes, then conditions from gun to finish

What slows you

Example race: a hot half marathon in Florida

Reference

Everything else about race morning

Open any row for the full detail.

  • Race day recap27 September 2026

    Warsaw Marathon ran on 27 September 2026. The weather recap for this edition is not published yet.

  • The course42.2 km

    The 48th Warsaw Marathon starts on Świętokrzyska Street near the Palace of Culture and Science. Follow the organiser’s race-day map for the precise route.

    RACE MORNING AT 09:002021–2025
    8–17°C

    Where most starts fell, in the weather near Warsaw around race day. Not a forecast.

    AVERAGE
    12°C
    HUMIDITY
    85%
    WIND
    12 km/h
    No course map yetOrganiser route
    01

    Plan around the advertised 09:00 start, then confirm the timing and logistics in your participant instructions.

    02

    Compare the conditions at your start and expected finish before settling on kit and effort.

    03

    Confirm late changes to the route, start wave and logistics with the organiser.

    Official race site ↗
  • Race-window historyLast 5 years, race date ±5 days

    A range for planning Warsaw Marathon: weather near Warsaw on race morning, the last 5 years (2021 to 2025, race date ±5 days). Not a forecast.

    Typical start-hour air12°C10th–90th percentile 8°C–17°C
    Dew point / humidity9°C85% relative humidity
    Start-hour wind12 km/hDirection varies by day
    Hours with rain15%Historical frequency at this hour
    AIR THROUGH THE RUN

    The five-year picture

    12°C → 17°C by +4h
    09:00
    Air temperature
    12°C
    Humidity
    85%
    Wind
    12 km/h
    Hours with rain
    15%
    5°C12°C19°C26°CStartGoal finish09:0011:0013:0015:00

    Hover or drag to explore. Use ← → when focused. Shading: middle 80% of sampled temperatures.

    Five-year average Middle 80% of sampled hours

    The sampled air warms by about 5°C across four hours. Check your expected finish-hour forecast, not just the start.

    WIND CONTEXT

    Where the breeze came from

    NN: 4 of 55 sampled start hours; mean 12 km/hNENE: 8 of 55 sampled start hours; mean 11 km/hEE: 7 of 55 sampled start hours; mean 15 km/hSESE: 13 of 55 sampled start hours; mean 12 km/hSS: 4 of 55 sampled start hours; mean 6 km/hSWSW: 8 of 55 sampled start hours; mean 11 km/hWW: 7 of 55 sampled start hours; mean 18 km/hNWNW: 4 of 55 sampled start hours; mean 12 km/h
    WIND FROMSE

    13 of 55 samples · 24%
    Mean 12 km/h

    The petals show how often the wind came from each direction at the sampled start hour. They do not predict the direction on race day.

    A city-point wind rose cannot tell you which parts of the course will be sheltered or exposed. Use the live forecast and the organiser’s route map together.

    Method: 55 ERA5 hourly samples at 09:00 local time, across 11 calendar days per year in 2021–2025. The sample uses the hour containing the advertised first start; waves may start later. Grid weather is modelled reanalysis, not an on-course station reading. Open-Meteo Historical Weather API . Data generated 2026-09-29.

  • Warsaw Marathon FAQs7 questions

    When is the 2026 Warsaw Marathon?

    Warsaw Marathon is listed for 27 September 2026. Confirm the latest details on the official event website before travelling.

    Is the weather shown a forecast for the Warsaw Marathon?

    Only from about 14 days before the race, when the page shows the live race-day forecast. Before that, you see the weather near the city on the mornings around race day in the last 5 years: what is typical, not what will happen. Monthly averages, when shown, cover every hour of the race month.

    What is race morning usually like at the Warsaw Marathon?

    Around the 09:00 start, mornings around race day near Warsaw in the last 5 years averaged 12°C (53°F), 85% humidity and 12 km/h wind. Most started between 8°C and 17°C. This is weather near the city, not a reading from the race itself or a forecast.

    Which recent year had the warmest race morning at the Warsaw Marathon?

    2023. Around race day that year it was about 16°C (60°F) around the 09:00 start, against 12°C (53°F) on an average year.

    Which recent year had the windiest race morning at the Warsaw Marathon?

    2021, with about 14 km/h of wind around the 09:00 start. Over the last 5 years the wind here came mostly from the south-east.

    How should I pace the Warsaw Marathon on a warm day?

    4:00:00 goal. On a typical race morning here, expect about 4:00 to 4:08. Main factor: heat. On a warm day, start about 10 s/km easier than goal pace, run by feel to halfway and drink early. Plan my race gives your splits for the day.

    Can past years predict the weather on race day at the Warsaw Marathon?

    No. They show what race morning is usually like, not what this year will bring. Check the live forecast in the last 14 days, look at the hours through your expected finish, and follow the organiser for start and course updates.

  • Sources and race informationOrganiser, weather data, guide reviewed 2026-09-22

    Past race-morning weather: Open-Meteo Historical Weather API, weather near the city from 2021 to 2025, updated 2026-09-29. Not official race-day readings.

    Guide reviewed . RunWeather is an independent guide, not the race organiser. Dates, waves and routes can change; the organiser’s latest instructions take priority.

Warsaw race morning, on your phone.

Free on iPhone and Android. Your race plan, updated with the forecast until the gun.

Example RunWeather race plan for a hot half marathon in Florida: goal pace against race-day pace, and how to spend it from start to finish

Example race: a hot half marathon in Florida