Manchester Half weather
What will race morning in Manchester cost you?
Manchester Half mornings around race day since 2021, by weather-model estimate: about 12°C (54°F) at 09:00 near Manchester. Most were 9 to 15°C.
- Date
- Sun, 4 Oct 2026
- First start
- Not confirmed
- Distance
- 21.1 km
| Year | Air | Dew pt | Wind | Rain hrs |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 12°C | 10°C | 16 km/h | 27% |
| 2024 | 11°C | 10°C | 15 km/h | 36% |
| 2023 | 14°C | 13°C | 15 km/h | 27% |
| 2022 | 12°C | 10°C | 19 km/h | 18% |
| 2021 | 12°C | 10°C | 18 km/h | 27% |
By weather-model estimate near the race, mornings around race day. Not station readings.
The Manchester Half is a 13.1-mile road event in the Old Trafford area. The displayed course is from 2025; check the 2026 participant guide for current start and finish details. Organiser route
Past starts: 12°C typical, 9 to 15°C since 2021.
01 · The conditions
Race-day weather
The past weather below is context for the next edition. We do not substitute today’s weather for a past race.
Explore historical weather- ★★★★★5.080+ ratings
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Example race: a hot half marathon in Florida
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Works with Apple HealthGet Manchester race-morning weather on your phone.
The app turns race-morning weather into your race plan: your goal pace, your race-day pace, and how to spend it from the start to the finish.
On a computer? Scan with your phone camera to get the app.
Example race: a hot half marathon in Florida
02 · Same effort, different day
What the weather may cost your goal
2:00:00 goal. On a typical race morning here, expect about 2:01 to 2:03. Main factor: heat.
- Heat and sun+1%
- Wind and comfort0%
- Weather total+1%
RunWeather’s pace model at your goal effort, over every hour you are on course (09:00 to 11:00 local), weighted by the time you spend in each, using the five-year race-morning average. A planning preview, not a predicted finish. Hills, turns, shelter, fuelling and heat adaptation are not modelled here; rain is left out because a probability is not a measured rain rate. Explore the heat pace calculator.
View even-pace checkpoints
| Distance | Elapsed time |
|---|---|
| 5.0 km | 0:28:26 |
| 10.0 km | 0:56:53 |
| 15.0 km | 1:25:19 |
| 20.0 km | 1:53:45 |
| 21.1 km · Finish | 2:00:00 |
In the app
Your race plan, on race morning
Add the Manchester Half and the app keeps your plan current until the gun.
Goal pace against race-day pace
What your goal is worth on this morning’s weather, per km and at the finish.
How to spend it
Start, middle and finish, against your average.
What slows you
Heat, wind and hills, each in minutes.
Goal vs race day
What slows you
Example race: a hot half marathon in Florida
Reference
Everything else about race morning
Open any row for the full detail.
Race day recap4 October 2026
Manchester Half ran on 4 October 2026. The weather recap for this edition is not published yet.
The course21.1 km · 24 to 35 m
The Manchester Half is a 13.1-mile road event in the Old Trafford area. The displayed course is from 2025; check the 2026 participant guide for current start and finish details.
THE COURSE21.1 km1×Zoom to drag the route. Keyboard: + / −, arrows, Home to reset.
2025 course. Check the organiser’s map for this year.
ELEVATION24–35 m0.0 km- Elevation
- 30 m
Hover or drag to explore. Use ← → when focused.
The 2025 course from RunWeather's race catalogue. The next edition may differ; elevation is approximate. Elevation along that course, not confirmed for this year. Official race site ↗01Keep your warm-up close enough to your assigned start to avoid cooling down while waiting.
02Use the race-hour rain and wind forecast when choosing kit.
03Use past October mornings to plan your kit options, then choose kit and pace from the race-hour forecast.
Race-window historyLast 5 years, race date ±5 days
A range for planning Manchester Half: weather near Manchester on race morning, the last 5 years (2021 to 2025, race date ±5 days). Not a forecast.
Typical start-hour air12°C10th–90th percentile 9°C–15°CDew point / humidity11°C91% relative humidityStart-hour wind17 km/hDirection varies by dayHours with rain27%Historical frequency at this hourAIR THROUGH THE RUN12°C → 15°C by +4hThe five-year picture
09:00- Air temperature
- 12°C
- Humidity
- 91%
- Wind
- 17 km/h
- Hours with rain
- 27%
Hover or drag to explore. Use ← → when focused. Shading: middle 80% of sampled temperatures.
Five-year average Middle 80% of sampled hoursThe sampled air warms by about 3°C across four hours. Check your expected finish-hour forecast, not just the start.
WIND CONTEXTWhere the breeze came from
WIND FROMS14 of 55 samples · 25%
Mean 17 km/hThe petals show how often the wind came from each direction at the sampled start hour. They do not predict the direction on race day.
A city-point wind rose cannot tell you which parts of the course will be sheltered or exposed. Use the live forecast and the organiser’s route map together.
Method: 55 ERA5 hourly samples at 09:00 local time, across 11 calendar days per year in 2021–2025. A 09:00 sample is used because the organiser has not confirmed a first start in this guide. Grid weather is modelled reanalysis, not an on-course station reading. Open-Meteo Historical Weather API . Data generated 2026-09-29.
October climateAll-hours monthly averages
October averages in Manchester, from 2022 to 2024. These are monthly conditions, not a race-day forecast.
- mean temperature
- 12°C
- mean humidity
- 83%
- mean wind
- 14 km/h
- hours with rain
- 27%
Monthly, all-hours averages for Manchester, 2022–2024. Not past race-day measurements or a forecast. Rain is the share of historical hours with precipitation, not the chance of rain on race day. Source: Open-Meteo ERA5.
Explore running weather in ManchesterManchester Half FAQs7 questions
When is the 2026 Manchester Half?
Manchester Half is scheduled for 4 October 2026. Confirm the latest details on the official event website before travelling.
Is the weather shown a forecast for the Manchester Half?
Only from about 14 days before the race, when the page shows the live race-day forecast. Before that, you see the weather near the city on the mornings around race day in the last 5 years: what is typical, not what will happen. Monthly averages, when shown, cover every hour of the race month.
What is race morning usually like at the Manchester Half?
At 09:00 (the start time is not confirmed), mornings around race day near Manchester in the last 5 years averaged 12°C (54°F), 91% humidity and 17 km/h wind. Most started between 9°C and 15°C. This is weather near the city, not a reading from the race itself or a forecast.
Which recent year had the warmest race morning at the Manchester Half?
2023. Around race day that year it was about 14°C (57°F) at 09:00 (the start time is not confirmed), against 12°C (54°F) on an average year.
Which recent year had the windiest race morning at the Manchester Half?
2022, with about 19 km/h of wind at 09:00 (the start time is not confirmed). Over the last 5 years the wind here came mostly from the south.
How should I pace the Manchester Half on a warm day?
2:00:00 goal. On a typical race morning here, expect about 2:01 to 2:03. Main factor: heat. On a warm day, start about 10 s/km easier than goal pace, run by feel to halfway and drink early. Plan my race gives your splits for the day.
Can past years predict the weather on race day at the Manchester Half?
No. They show what race morning is usually like, not what this year will bring. Check the live forecast in the last 14 days, look at the hours through your expected finish, and follow the organiser for start and course updates.
Sources and race informationOrganiser, weather data, guide reviewed 2026-09-22
Past race-morning weather: Open-Meteo Historical Weather API, weather near the city from 2021 to 2025, updated 2026-09-29. Not official race-day readings.
Guide reviewed . RunWeather is an independent guide, not the race organiser. Dates, waves and routes can change; the organiser’s latest instructions take priority. Course map: The 2025 course from RunWeather's race catalogue. The next edition may differ; elevation is approximate.
Manchester race morning, on your phone.
Free on iPhone and Android. Your race plan, updated with the forecast until the gun.
On a computer? Scan with your phone camera to get the app.
Example race: a hot half marathon in Florida