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Melbourne Marathon ·

What will race morning in Melbourne cost you?

Past editionPrevious edition
3:15:00about 3:15Edit goal

Past starts: 10°C typical, 6 to 15°C since 2021.

RunWeather race plan: goal pace against race-day pace, and how to spend it from start to finish
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01 · The conditions

Race-day weather

Previous editionThis edition has finished

The past weather below is context for the next edition. We do not substitute today’s weather for a past race.

Explore historical weather

Get Melbourne race-morning weather on your phone.

The app turns race-morning weather into your race plan: your goal pace, your race-day pace, and how to spend it from the start to the finish.

RunWeather race plan: what slows you, heat and wind in minutes, then conditions from gun to finish

02 · Same effort, different day

What the weather may cost your goal

Goal finish time

Choose a popular time or set your own. Your pace and weather preview update as you edit.

Your goal pace4:37/km · 3:15:00 finish
Same effort in this weather3:15:00+0:00 at 06:00 · five-year average

Past race mornings here were cool. Expect no weather penalty at your goal.

  • Heat and sun0%
  • Wind and comfort0%
  • Weather total0%

RunWeather’s pace model, one weather hour at your goal effort: weather at 06:00 local using the five-year race-morning average. A planning preview, not a predicted finish. Hills, turns, shelter, fuelling, heat adaptation and wave timing are not modelled here; rain is left out because a probability is not a measured rain rate. Explore the heat pace calculator.

View even-pace checkpoints
DistanceElapsed time
5.0 km0:23:06
10.0 km0:46:13
15.0 km1:09:19
20.0 km1:32:26
25.0 km1:55:32
30.0 km2:18:39
35.0 km2:41:45
40.0 km3:04:51
42.2 km · Finish3:15:00

In the app

Your race plan, on race morning

Add the Melbourne Marathon and the app keeps your plan current until the gun.

  • Goal pace against race-day pace

    What your goal is worth on this morning’s weather, per km and at the finish.

  • How to spend it

    Start, middle and finish, against your average.

  • What slows you

    Heat, wind and hills, each in minutes.

Goal vs race dayWhat slows you
RunWeather race plan: goal pace against race-day pace, and how to spend it from start to finish
RunWeather race plan: what slows you, heat and wind in minutes, then conditions from gun to finish

Reference

Everything else about race morning

Open any row for the full detail.

  • Race day recap11 October 2026

    Melbourne Marathon ran on 11 October 2026. The weather recap for this edition is not published yet.

  • The course42.2 km

    The Melbourne Marathon is a marathon in Melbourne, Australia. There is no course map here yet. Check the organiser's site for this year's route.

    RACE MORNING AT 06:152021–2025
    6–15°C

    Where most starts fell, in the weather near Melbourne around race day. Not a forecast.

    AVERAGE
    10°C
    HUMIDITY
    85%
    WIND
    13 km/h
    No course map yetOrganiser route
    01

    The first start is listed at 06:15 local time. Check the forecast for your own wave or corral start.

    02

    Compare the conditions at your start and expected finish before settling on kit and effort.

    03

    Confirm late changes to the route, start wave and logistics with the organiser.

    Official race site ↗
  • Race-window historyLast 5 years, race date ±5 days

    A range for planning Melbourne Marathon: weather near Melbourne on race morning, the last 5 years (2021 to 2025, race date ±5 days). Not a forecast.

    Typical start-hour air10°C10th–90th percentile 6°C–15°C
    Dew point / humidity8°C85% relative humidity
    Start-hour wind13 km/hDirection varies by day
    Hours with rain18%Historical frequency at this hour
    AIR THROUGH THE RUN

    The five-year picture

    10°C → 15°C by +4h
    06:00
    Air temperature
    10°C
    Humidity
    85%
    Wind
    13 km/h
    Hours with rain
    18%
    4°C10°C17°C23°CStartGoal finish06:0008:0010:0012:00

    Hover or drag to explore. Use ← → when focused. Shading: middle 80% of sampled temperatures.

    Five-year average Middle 80% of sampled hours

    The sampled air warms by about 5°C across four hours. Check your expected finish-hour forecast, not just the start.

    WIND CONTEXT

    Where the breeze came from

    NN: 17 of 55 sampled start hours; mean 15 km/hNENE: 4 of 55 sampled start hours; mean 14 km/hEE: 1 of 55 sampled start hours; mean 5 km/hSESE: 2 of 55 sampled start hours; mean 6 km/hSS: 4 of 55 sampled start hours; mean 10 km/hSWSW: 8 of 55 sampled start hours; mean 14 km/hWW: 8 of 55 sampled start hours; mean 10 km/hNWNW: 11 of 55 sampled start hours; mean 13 km/h
    WIND FROMN

    17 of 55 samples · 31%
    Mean 15 km/h

    The petals show how often the wind came from each direction at the sampled start hour. They do not predict the direction on race day.

    A city-point wind rose cannot tell you which parts of the course will be sheltered or exposed. Use the live forecast and the organiser’s route map together.

    Method: 55 ERA5 hourly samples at 06:00 local time, across 11 calendar days per year in 2021–2025. The sample uses the hour containing the advertised first start; waves may start later. Grid weather is modelled reanalysis, not an on-course station reading. Open-Meteo Historical Weather API . Data generated 2026-10-21.

  • October climateAll-hours monthly averages

    October averages in Melbourne, from 2022 to 2024. These are monthly conditions, not a race-day forecast.

    mean temperature
    14°C
    mean humidity
    72%
    mean wind
    14 km/h
    hours with rain
    23%

    Monthly, all-hours averages for Melbourne, 2022–2024. Not past race-day measurements or a forecast. Rain is the share of historical hours with precipitation, not the chance of rain on race day. Source: Open-Meteo ERA5.

    Explore running weather in Melbourne
  • Melbourne Marathon FAQs7 questions

    When is the 2026 Melbourne Marathon?

    Melbourne Marathon is listed for 11 October 2026. Confirm the latest details on the official event website before travelling.

    Is the weather shown a forecast for the Melbourne Marathon?

    Only from about 15 days before the race, when the page shows the live race-day forecast. Before that, you see the weather near the city on the mornings around race day in the last 5 years: what is typical, not what will happen. Monthly averages, when shown, cover every hour of the race month.

    What is race morning usually like at the Melbourne Marathon?

    Around the 06:15 start, mornings around race day near Melbourne in the last 5 years averaged 10°C, 85% humidity and 13 km/h wind. Most started between 6 and 15°C. This is weather near the city, not a reading from the race itself or a forecast.

    Which recent year had the warmest race morning at the Melbourne Marathon?

    2024. Around race day that year it was about 11°C around the 06:15 start, against 10°C on an average year.

    Which recent year had the windiest race morning at the Melbourne Marathon?

    2024, with about 14 km/h of wind around the 06:15 start. Over the last 5 years the wind here came mostly from the north.

    How should I pace the Melbourne Marathon on a warm day?

    Take a 3:15:00 goal. Past race mornings here were cool. Expect no weather penalty at your goal. If race day comes in warmer, start a little easier than goal pace, run by feel to halfway and drink early. Plan my race gives your splits for the day.

    Can past years predict the weather on race day at the Melbourne Marathon?

    No. They show what race morning is usually like, not what this year will bring. Check the live forecast in the last 15 days, look at the hours through your expected finish, and follow the organiser for start and course updates.

  • Sources and race informationOrganiser, weather data, guide reviewed 2026-10-21

    Past race-morning weather: Open-Meteo Historical Weather API, weather near the city from 2021 to 2025, updated 2026-10-21. Not official race-day readings.

    Guide reviewed . RunWeather is an independent guide, not the race organiser. Dates, waves and routes can change; the organiser’s latest instructions take priority.

Melbourne race morning, on your phone.

Free on iPhone and Android. Your race plan, updated with the forecast until the gun.

RunWeather race plan: goal pace against race-day pace, and how to spend it from start to finish